Frank Sielmann

my homepage + weather page

weather conditions in Hamburg (last 36h)

Research Interests

• climate variability
• monsoon systems
• statistical forecasts

Publications

Zhu, S., F. Ge, F. Sielmann, M. Pan, K. Fraedrich, A. R. C. Remedio, D. V. Sein, D. Jacob, H. Wang, and X. Zhi, 2020: Seasonal temperature response over the Indochina Peninsula to a worst-case high emission forcing: A study with the regionally coupled model ROM. Theor. Appl. Climatol., DOI: 10.1007/s00704-020-03345-7.

Fiedler, S., T. Crueger, R. D'Agostino, K. Peters, T. Becker, D. Leutwyler, L. Paccini, J. Burdanowitz, S. A. Buehler, A. Uribe Cortes, T. Dauhut, D. Dommenget, K. Fraedrich, L. Jungandreas, N. Maher, A. K. Naumann, M. Rugenstein, M. Sakradzija, H. Schmidt, F. Sielmann, C. Stephan, C. Timmreck, X. Zhu, and B. Stevens, 2020: Simulated Tropical Precipitation Assessed Across Three Major Phases of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP). Monthly Weather Review, DOI: 10.1175/MWR-D-19-0404.1.

Zhu, S., F. Ge, Y. Fan, F. Sielmann, L. Zhang, K. Fraedrich, and X. Zhi, 2020: Conspicuous temperature extremes over Southeast Asia: seasonal variations under 1.5°C and 2°C global warming. Climatic Change, p1-18, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-019-02640-1.

Zhu, S., A. R. C. Remedio, D. V. Sein, F. Sielmann, F. Ge, J. Xu, T. Peng, D. Jacob, K. Fraedrich, and X. Zhi, 2020: Added value of the regionally coupled model ROM in the East Asian summer monsoon modeling. Theor. Appl. Climatol., 140, 375–387, DOI: 10.1007/s00704-020-03093-8.

Ge, F., S. Zhu, T. Peng,  Y. Zhao, F. Sielmann, X. Zhi, X. Liu, W. Tang, L. Ji, 2019: Risks of precipitation extremes over Southeast Asia: does 1.5 or 2 degrees global warming make a difference? Environ. Res. Lett., 14, 044015, p1-11, DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aaff7e.

Ge, F., T. Peng, F. Sielmann, X. Zhu, X. Zhi, X. Liu, W. Tang, and P. Zhao, 2018: Assessment of trends and variability in surface air temperature on multiple high resolution datasets over the Indochina Peninsula. Theor. Appl. Climatol., 135, 1609-1627, DOI: 10.1007/s00704-018-2457-x.

Chen, X., Q. You, F. Sielmann, and N. Ruan, 2017: Climate change scenarios for Tibetan Plateau summer precipitation based on canonical correlation analysis. Int. J. Climatol., 37, 1310–1321, DOI: 10.1002/joc.4778.

Ge, F., F. Sielmann, X.  Zhu, K. Fraedrich, X. Zhi, T. Peng, and L. Wang, 2017: The link between Tibetan Plateau monsoon and Indian summer precipitation: a linear diagnostic perspective. Clim. Dyn., 49, 4201-4215, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-3585-1.

Cai, D., F. Sielmann, Y. Guan, and S. Guo, 2016: Land cover characterization and aridity changes of South America (1982 to 2006): An attribution by eco-hydrological diagnostics. J. Climate, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0024.1.

Zhang, L., F. Sielmann, K. Fraedrich, and X. Zhi, 2016: Atmospheric response to Indian Ocean Dipole forcing: Changes of Southeast China winter precipitation under global warming. Clim. Dyn., 48(5), 1467-1482, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-016-3152-1.

Fraedrich, K., F. Sielmann, D. Cai, and X. Zhu, 2016: Climate dynamics on watershed scale: along the rainfall-runoff chain. In: The Fluid Dynamcis of Climate, International Centre for Mechanical Sciences (CISM), Springer Verlag, 183-209, DOI: 10.1007/978-3-7091-1893-1_8.

Cai, D., F. Sielmann, L. Zhang, X. Zhu, S. Guo, and Y. Guan, 2015: Vegetation Dynamics on the Tibetan Plateau (1982 to 2006): An Attribution by Eco-hydrological Diagnostics, J. Climate, 28, 4576-4584, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00692.

Zhang, L., F. Sielmann, K. Fraedrich, X. Zhu, and X. Zhi, 2015: Variability of winter extreme precipitation in Southeast China：Contributions of SST anomalies. Clim. Dyn., DOI: 10.1007/s00382-015-2492-6.PDF

Fraedrich, K., F. Sielmann, D. Cai, L. Zhang, and X. Zhu, 2015: Validation of an ideal rainfall-runoff chain in a GCM environment, Water Resources Management, 29, 313–324.PDF

Zhang, L., K. Fraedrich, F. Sielmann, and X. Zhi, 2015: Interannual variability of winter precipitation in Southeast China. Theor Appl Climatol, 119, 229-238, DOI: 10.1007/s00704-014-111-5.PDF

Cai, D., K. Fraedrich, F. Sielmann, Y. Guan, S. Guo, L. Zhang, and X. Zhu 2014: Climate and vegetation: An ERA-1 Interim and GIMMS NDVI Analysis, J. Climate, 27, 5111-5118.PDF

You, Q., K. Fraedrich, F. Sielmann, J. Min, S. Kang, Z. Ji, X. Zhu, and G. Ren, 2014: Present and projected degree days in China from reanalysis and simulations, Clim. Dyn., 43, 1449-1462, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-013-1960-0.PDF

Zhang, L., K. Fraedrich, F. Sielmann, and X. Zhi, 2014: Interdecadal variability of winter precipitation in Southeast China. Clim. Dyn., 43, 2239-2248, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-014-2048-1.PDF

Fraedrich, K., F. Sielmann, L. Zhang, and X. Zhu, 2013: Applications of an Ideal Rainfall-Runoff Chain: Validation and Climate Change. European Water Resources Agency, Porto 2013, 845-852.PDF

Langmack,  H., K. Fraedrich, and F. Sielmann, 2012: Tropical cyclone track analog ensemble forecasting in the extended Australian basin: NWP combinations. Q. J. R. Meterol. Soc., 138, 1828-1838, DOI: 10.1002/qj.1915.PDF

Fraedrich, K. and F. Sielmann, 2011: An equation of state for land surface climates. International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 21, 3577-3587.PDF

Langmack, H., F. Sielmann und K. Fraedrich, 2007: Analog-Vorhersagen von Hurrikan-Zugbahnen. Promet, 33, 65-70.PDF

Fraedrich, K., C.C. Raible, and F. Sielmann, 2003: Analog ensemble forecasts of tropical cyclone tracks in the Australian region. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 3-11.PDF

Fraedrich, K., F. Sielmann, and C. Ziehmann, 1995: Estimates of spatial degrees of freedom. J. Climate, 8, 361-369.PDF

Sausen, R., W. König, F. Sielmann, 1995: Analysis of blocking events from observations and ECHAM model simulations. Tellus, 47A, 421-438, DOI: 10.1034/j.1600-0870.1995.t01-3-00003.x.PDF

Ponater, M., W. König, R. Sausen, F. Sielmann, 1994: Circulation regime fluctuations and their effect on intraseasonal variability in the ECHAM climate model. Tellus, 46A, 265-285.PDF

König, W., R. Sausen, F. Sielmann, 1993: Objective identification of cyclones in GCM simulations. J. Climate, 6, 2217-2231.PDF

Sielmann, F., 1991: Zyklonen in einem barotropen Zirkulationsmodell. Diplomarbeit.

Bakan, S, A. Chlond, U. Cubasch, J. Feichter, H. Graf, H. Grassl, K. Hasselmann, I. Kirchner, M. Latif, E. Roeckner, R. Sausen, U. Schlese, D. Schriever, I. Schult, U. Schumann, F. Sielmann, W. Welke, 1991: Climate response to smoke from the burning oil wells in Kuwait. Nature, 351, 367-371.PDF

Latif, M., S. Bakan, A. Chlond, U. Cubasch, E. Roeckner, U. Schlese, J. Feichter, D. Schriever, H. F. Graf, I. Schult, H. Graßl, U. Schumann, K. Hasselmann, F. Sielmann, I. Kirchner, W. Welke, 1991: Auswirkungen von Ölbränden in Kuweit auf das Globalklima. Bericht des MPI für Meteorologie, Hamburg.